This is an interesting article on the Mariners and their 2010 payroll...
On the Mariners and their payroll
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Predictions: After Conference Championship Weekend - 2-0
After the third-round of NFL playoff games - 'Conference Championship' weekend, my predictions for the 2 games ended up 2-0... Thus far, I'm 6-4. Let's recap.
Correct
Saints beat Vikings in OT, reach 1st Super Bowl
The Saints absolutely battered Brett Farve, forcing 6 turnovers on their way to a 31-28 overtime victory in New Orleans. The most crucial of turnovers came late in the 4th quarter when Favre threw an ill advised pass intended for Sidney Rice, which was picked off by the Saints and ended the Vikings sure attempting a field goal. In overtime the Saints won the toss and promptly drove down the field to kick the game winning field goal.
Remarkable was the fact that despite the 6 turnovers, the Vikings were still in the game until the very end. Adrian Peterson had four fumbles, and three lost, despite having a good day otherwise, rushing for 122 yds
and 3 TDs.
Drew Brees performed well, despite being more inaccurate than usual. Brees finished 17-31, for 197 yds and 3 TDs. The Saints dome, which was rocking the entire game, celebrated for the first time their beloved home team's first trip to the Super Bowl.
Correct
Manning, Colts rally past Jets, reach Super Bowl
The storyline was predictable, Peyton Manning played his usual efficient game, finishing 26-39, for 377 yds and 3 TDs, and led the Colts to their second Super Bowl appearance under his quarterbacking.
Most notably absent from the game was Reggie Wayne, who was blanketed by Jets defender Darrell Revis. Manning, looking for other targets, found Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie early and often however; Garcon finished with 151 yds and 1 TD, while Collie had 123 yds and 1 TD.
Running back Shonn Green's early injury didn't offer any help for the Jets running attack, who finished with just 86 yards. Sanchez and the Jets had early success in passing game, but was shut-down in the second half by the Colts defense.
Peyton Manning and the Colts will play the New Orleans Saints in the Super Bowl, the team that Peyton's father Archie Manning used to play for.
Friday, January 22, 2010
Predictions: Conference Championships
After the Divisional round I am 4-4 in my predictions, with tough losses in the Vikings vs. Cowboys and Jets vs. Chargers games. With three games left, let's see if I can finish this postseason 7-4.
Conference Championship
AFC
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, January 24th - Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis), 12:00 p.m. PST, CBS
This is an extremely tough game to call. My heart tells me to shoot for the moon and pick the resurgent Jets, but my mind tells me that Payton Manning will once again lead his team to victory, no matter what form the game takes. What tips the scales in my mind is looking at the Colts impressive defensive outing last week, limiting Ray Rice and the Ravens running attack. I believe that the combination of Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene will get their yards when all is said and done on Sunday, but the Colts will limit their totals enough to win the game.
The Colts have so many weapons that even if Darrell Revis does shut down Reggie Wayne, the Jets still have to cover Dallas Clark, Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie.
In the end, I just can't see Peyton Manning losing this game, he is too good and too clutch.
Colts win at home.
NFC
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, January 24th - 3:40 p.m. PST, FOX
Brett Favre and the Vikings against Drew Brees and the Saints, you can't ask for a better quarterback match-up than that. Last week really showed me how good the Vikings really are, but then again, the same was true for the Saints.
The key to this game will be how the Saints can handle the front line of the Viking defense, and if they can buy Brees some time to throw. Regardless of how well the Vikings defense played last week against the Cowboys, they will be facing the best offense in the NFL on Sunday, especially at home.
For the Vikings, they need to protect Favre, and especially if the game is close, get a good day from Adrian Peterson on the ground. Peterson has hardly been heard from in the postseason, and playing a balanced game could be key for the Vikings.
To say that I am completely stumped on this pick is an understatement, but in the end I just the Saints having too many weapons on offense (Colston, Meachem, Shockey, Bush and Thomas). The Saints will get an outstanding performance on the offensive side, and just enough from their underrated defense.
Saints win at home.
Conference Championship
AFC
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, January 24th - Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis), 12:00 p.m. PST, CBS
This is an extremely tough game to call. My heart tells me to shoot for the moon and pick the resurgent Jets, but my mind tells me that Payton Manning will once again lead his team to victory, no matter what form the game takes. What tips the scales in my mind is looking at the Colts impressive defensive outing last week, limiting Ray Rice and the Ravens running attack. I believe that the combination of Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene will get their yards when all is said and done on Sunday, but the Colts will limit their totals enough to win the game.
The Colts have so many weapons that even if Darrell Revis does shut down Reggie Wayne, the Jets still have to cover Dallas Clark, Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie.
In the end, I just can't see Peyton Manning losing this game, he is too good and too clutch.
Colts win at home.
NFC
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, January 24th - 3:40 p.m. PST, FOX
Brett Favre and the Vikings against Drew Brees and the Saints, you can't ask for a better quarterback match-up than that. Last week really showed me how good the Vikings really are, but then again, the same was true for the Saints.
The key to this game will be how the Saints can handle the front line of the Viking defense, and if they can buy Brees some time to throw. Regardless of how well the Vikings defense played last week against the Cowboys, they will be facing the best offense in the NFL on Sunday, especially at home.
For the Vikings, they need to protect Favre, and especially if the game is close, get a good day from Adrian Peterson on the ground. Peterson has hardly been heard from in the postseason, and playing a balanced game could be key for the Vikings.
To say that I am completely stumped on this pick is an understatement, but in the end I just the Saints having too many weapons on offense (Colston, Meachem, Shockey, Bush and Thomas). The Saints will get an outstanding performance on the offensive side, and just enough from their underrated defense.
Saints win at home.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
MLB News
Tim Lincecum files for arbitration
Compromise makes most sense for Lincecum, Giants
Angels sign Joel Pineiro
Angels reach two-year agreement with Pineiro
Andre Ethier resigns with Dodgers
OF Ethier, Dodgers agree to $15.25M, 2-year deal
Red Sox resign Papelbon, Ramirez and Delcarmen
Papelbon, Ramirez, Delcarmen agree with Red Sox
Cardinals resign Ludwick
Ludwick, Cardinals agree to $5.45M, 1-year deal
Hearing about Lincecum and his negotiations with the Giants got me to thinking - has their ever been a weirder looking pitching ace in the MLB?!
Can you choose the Cy Young winner?
Compromise makes most sense for Lincecum, Giants
Angels sign Joel Pineiro
Angels reach two-year agreement with Pineiro
Andre Ethier resigns with Dodgers
OF Ethier, Dodgers agree to $15.25M, 2-year deal
Red Sox resign Papelbon, Ramirez and Delcarmen
Papelbon, Ramirez, Delcarmen agree with Red Sox
Cardinals resign Ludwick
Ludwick, Cardinals agree to $5.45M, 1-year deal
Hearing about Lincecum and his negotiations with the Giants got me to thinking - has their ever been a weirder looking pitching ace in the MLB?!
Can you choose the Cy Young winner?
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Mariners Update - Extension for Felix
It's being reported that the Mariners are in the process of signing Felix Hernandez to a 5 year extension in the neighborhood of 75-80 million dollars. If these reports are true, this is very good news for the M's. Felix, second of the Cy Young voting in the 2009 season, had a tremendous season going 19-5 record with a 2.46 ERA.
Felix is still just 23 years of age, and locking him up for a long-term deal have make the M's brass that much more comfortable knowing that they will have his services for another 5 years. Felix will be 28 when the deal expires, making it possible for him to sign two max contracts in his career, something that few pitchers area able to do.
Source: Hernandez re-ups with Mariners
Felix is still just 23 years of age, and locking him up for a long-term deal have make the M's brass that much more comfortable knowing that they will have his services for another 5 years. Felix will be 28 when the deal expires, making it possible for him to sign two max contracts in his career, something that few pitchers area able to do.
Source: Hernandez re-ups with Mariners
Monday, January 18, 2010
Predictions: After Divisional Weekend - 2-2
After the second-round of NFL playoff games - 'Divisional Weekend,' my predictions for the 4 games ended up 2-2... Let's recap.
Correct
Saints rout Cardinals 45-14, reach NFC title game
Drew Brees, Reggie Bush and the New Orleans Saints obliterated the Arizona Cardinals, 45-14 on Saturday, moving the ball at will on the Cardinals defense. The Saint defense played well in the victory as well, pressuring and frustrating Kurt Warner and company, forcing 2 turnovers. An important play for the Saints came when they knocked out, for a short time, Kurt Warner just seconds after an interception. Bobby McCray blind-sided the quarterback and Warner was clearly never the same after that.
The stars of the game were Reggie Bush, who finished with 84 yds rushing, 1 TD, 24 yds receiving and 109 yds and 1 TD in the return game; and Drew Brees, who finished 23-32, 247 yds and 3 TDs.
Correct
Colts beat Ravens 20-3, advance to AFC title game
Manning led the top seeded Colts over the Ravens, 20-3, in what looked like a sure Colts victory almost from the outset. At halftime the score read 17-3, with the Ravens looking dejected and unlikely to put up much of a fight. Manning finished the day going 30-44, 246 yds, 2 TDs and 1 INT. Mannings interception by Ed Reed could have shifted the momentum, if it weren't for the astounding hustle play by Pierre Garcon, who chased down Reed and stripped the football from behind.
Flacco and the Ravens offense struggled mightily against the fast Colts defense, who pressured Flacco throughout the contest, forcing him into 2 INTs. They also stripped Ravens running back Ray Rice after a crucial 20-yd run, to secure any doubt of their victory.
Incorrect
Favre, Vikings advance with 34-3 win over Cowboys
Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings dismantled the Dallas Cowboys, 34-3, playing with a ferociousness on defense that left the Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense completely unable to move the ball at all. The Vikings defensive line dominated the Cowboys, who failed to protect Romo with any consistency.
Offensively, Farve connected with Sydney Rice for 3 TDs, who had a breakout game in the receivers first playoff game. Rice finished the game with 6 catches for 141 yds and 3 TDs, while Favre went 15-24, for 234 yds and 4 TDs.
Absent again for the Vikings, despite their win, was Adrian Peterson. Peterson recorded just 63 yds on 23 carries, averaging just 2.4 yds per carry. Peterson has not rushed for over 100 yards in his past eight games.
Incorrect
Sanchez, Greene lead Jets to shocker over Chargers
The New York Jets pulled off their second upset this post season, winning 17-14 over the San Diego Chargers. Playing with their usual brand of football - tough defense and a grind-it-out running game, they frustrated the Charger offense and never let them get comfortable all day. Rivers, who got picked off two times in the contest, looked out of sync. Rivers finished the day 27-40 for 298 yds, 1 TD, 2 INTs and 3 Rushes for 4 yds and 1 TD.
Led by the phenomenal defensive play from cornerback Darrelle Revis, who made a circus play for a ball on the ground to intercept a Rivers pass intended for Jackson, the Jets are rolling into the AFC Championship game with a full head of steam. The Jets are 7-1 in their past 8 games, averaging opponents to just under 10 points a game in that span.
New Bracket
Although I expected the Chargers to win on Sunday, I can help but feel happy for the NY Jets, who played their hearts out in San Diego. The Cowboys complete meltdown did surprise me, but I am not surprised that Favre and the Vikings played well. This weekend should highlight two very intriguing games.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, January 24th - Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis), 12:00 p.m. PST, CBS
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, January 24th - 3:40 p.m. PST, FOX
Stay tuned for my picks for next weekend's games. So far I am at .500, 4-4.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Quick Game-Day Notes
I wanted to post the NFL Expert Picks - Divisional Playoffs from ESPN before the games get underway today. By the looks of it, Golic, Hoge, Mortensen, Schefter & Schlereth all have the same teams winning as I do. Smart men.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Mariners Update
I wanted to take a break from football - NFL Playoff predictions and Seahawks talk alike, and highlight some notes on the Mariners off-season transactions.
As far as the projected lineup for next season, here is what we are looking at if the season were to start today:
Projected Batting Order & Positions
[Stats are from the 2009 season]
While some of these statistics are misleading due to the fact that Kotchman, Bradley, Griffey, Wilson and Johnson averaged only 110 out of 162 games last season, there are still some glaring holes offensively.
First, the power potential for this squad is atrocious. The Mariners, based on last years numbers, have no slugger that hit either the 30 HR plateau, or the 100 RBI mark. The logical choice to fulfill at least the deficiency in the M's HR total would have been to resign Russell Branyan, who finished the year with 31 HR and 76 RBI, but the M's chose to go another route. They opted instead to trade for first-baseman Casey Kotchman, traditional a gap hitter with minus power, thereby letting the slugging Branyan sign elsewhere. Let's hope the M's have some insider information that we don't know about regarding Branyan's health, otherwise this swap looks like a poor choice based on our lack of power at the plate.
The M's clearly need to make a move for a left-handed power hitter, whether that is a blockbuster trade for a guy like Adrian Gonzalez, or sign a veteral DH like Hank Blalock. At the bare minimum, I would much prefer a Blalock-Kotchman platoon at first base to just giving Kotchman the reins in 2010.
One thing that does stand out offensively is the Mariner's ability to get on base, score runs and steal bases. With an Ichiro-Figgins top of the order, there will be plenty of opportunities for the M's starting pitchers to begin home games with an early lead in the bottom of the first inning. Also, look for Jack Wilson and Franklin Gutierrez to have better offensive numbers in 2010. Wilson is coming off a year in which he switched leagues (from the NL to the AL) and struggled with injuries, while Gutierrez should continue to improve at the plate as a part of his natural progression as a play, much like he did from the beginning to the end of last season.
One controversial move that the M's made this off-season was acquiring the troubled outfielder Milton Bradley. As far as Bradley goes, there is always more to him than just the numbers, and his success as a Mariner will rely heavily on how he handles himself in the clubhouse. If Bradley can contain his temper and get comfortable here in Seattle, I am willing to bet he will greatly improve the M's in 2010. Bradley is said to be a big admirer of Ken Griffey Jr, and if he can take him under his wing with regard to his behavior, I see Seattle working out for Bradley.
*Rob Johnson is rehabbing - (right hip surgery in October 2009, left hip surgery in November 2009, right wrist surgery in November 2009) and might not be ready for opening day.
Starting Rotation
With the addition of Cliff Lee, the M's starting rotation looks to be the strength of the organization. With two legitimate #1 starters, this will be a tough team to beat, especially in a long series. The depth of the rotation somewhat relies on the M's third starter, Ryan Rowland-Smith, who has showed flashes of brilliance, but has been inconsistent due to injuries. If he can solidify the #3 spot, and stay away from injuries, the M's should have a very strong starting pitching staff.
Closer
Aardsma, after taking the closer duties from Brandon Morrow within the first month of last season, did well in converting 38 saves to just 4 blow save opportunities. With the addition of Cliff Lee, an improved M's team and a year of experience under his belt, look for Aardsma to have a better 2010.
Relief Staff
Here is what I love about the M's relief pitchers, the average age is 25 years old. Zduriencik is clearly going young and building for the future. The M's are bringing back their three best relief pitchers Aardsma, Lowe and Kelley, and have added some youth with Petit and Hernandez. One improvement over last season is that the M's will be starting out the year with two lefties, which is two more than at the start of the 2009 season.
Major Off-Season Moves
Here is an overall overview of the off-season moves.
Acquired:
Zduriencik
I love the work that Jack Zduriencik has done so far, especially with the addition of Cliff Lee and the speedy Chone Figgins, but let's hope he's not done with regard to adding some power at the plate. I have a suspicion that the current roster will basically be the same one that we see during spring training and the start of the season, but I still think that a mid-season move is not out of the question. Look for the M's to make some moves before the trade deadline if it becomes apparent a power hitter is needed.
Here are a few more news links on the M's moves:
Report: Mariners talking to Tatis
Gutierrez agrees to four-year contract extension
Zduriencik: 'We'll take our chances and see where we go'
DH denied: Martinez falls short in first Hall vote
Griffey excited for 22nd and possibly final season
A Hypothetical Felix Hernandez Extension
Addressing The Kotchman/LaRoche Situation
As far as the projected lineup for next season, here is what we are looking at if the season were to start today:
Projected Batting Order & Positions
[Stats are from the 2009 season]
| Name | Pos | AVG | OBP | Runs | Hits | HR | RBI | SB |
| 1. Ichiro | RF | .352 | .386 | 88 | 225 | 11 | 46 | 26 |
| 2. C. Figgins | 3B | .298 | .395 | 114 | 183 | 5 | 54 | 42 |
| 3. J. Lopez | 2B | .272 | .303 | 69 | 167 | 25 | 96 | 3 |
| 4. C. Kotchman | 1B | .268 | .339 | 37 | 103 | 7 | 48 | 1 |
| 5. M. Bradley | LF | .257 | .378 | 61 | 101 | 12 | 40 | 2 |
| 6. Griffey Jr. | DH | .214 | .324 | 44 | 83 | 19 | 57 | 0 |
| 7. J. Wilson | SS | .292 | .255 | 37 | 95 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
| 8. F.Gutierrez | CF | .283 | .339 | 85 | 160 | 18 | 70 | 16 |
| 9. R. Johnson* | CF | .213 | .289 | 21 | 55 | 2 | 27 | 1 |
While some of these statistics are misleading due to the fact that Kotchman, Bradley, Griffey, Wilson and Johnson averaged only 110 out of 162 games last season, there are still some glaring holes offensively.
First, the power potential for this squad is atrocious. The Mariners, based on last years numbers, have no slugger that hit either the 30 HR plateau, or the 100 RBI mark. The logical choice to fulfill at least the deficiency in the M's HR total would have been to resign Russell Branyan, who finished the year with 31 HR and 76 RBI, but the M's chose to go another route. They opted instead to trade for first-baseman Casey Kotchman, traditional a gap hitter with minus power, thereby letting the slugging Branyan sign elsewhere. Let's hope the M's have some insider information that we don't know about regarding Branyan's health, otherwise this swap looks like a poor choice based on our lack of power at the plate.
The M's clearly need to make a move for a left-handed power hitter, whether that is a blockbuster trade for a guy like Adrian Gonzalez, or sign a veteral DH like Hank Blalock. At the bare minimum, I would much prefer a Blalock-Kotchman platoon at first base to just giving Kotchman the reins in 2010.
One thing that does stand out offensively is the Mariner's ability to get on base, score runs and steal bases. With an Ichiro-Figgins top of the order, there will be plenty of opportunities for the M's starting pitchers to begin home games with an early lead in the bottom of the first inning. Also, look for Jack Wilson and Franklin Gutierrez to have better offensive numbers in 2010. Wilson is coming off a year in which he switched leagues (from the NL to the AL) and struggled with injuries, while Gutierrez should continue to improve at the plate as a part of his natural progression as a play, much like he did from the beginning to the end of last season.
One controversial move that the M's made this off-season was acquiring the troubled outfielder Milton Bradley. As far as Bradley goes, there is always more to him than just the numbers, and his success as a Mariner will rely heavily on how he handles himself in the clubhouse. If Bradley can contain his temper and get comfortable here in Seattle, I am willing to bet he will greatly improve the M's in 2010. Bradley is said to be a big admirer of Ken Griffey Jr, and if he can take him under his wing with regard to his behavior, I see Seattle working out for Bradley.
*Rob Johnson is rehabbing - (right hip surgery in October 2009, left hip surgery in November 2009, right wrist surgery in November 2009) and might not be ready for opening day.
Starting Rotation
| Name | R/L | IP | W | L | ERA | WHIP | CG | S |
| 1. Félix Hernandez | R | 238 | 19 | 5 | 2.49 | 1.14 | 2 | 1 |
| 2. Cliff Lee | L | 231 | 14 | 13 | 3.22 | 1.24 | 6 | 2 |
| 3. Rowland-Smith | L | 96 | 5 | 4 | 3.74 | 1.18 | ||
| 4. Ian Snell | R | 64 | 5 | 2 | 4.20 | 1.55 | ||
| 5a. Doug Fister | R | 61 | 3 | 4 | 4.13 | 1.28 | ||
| 5b. Luke French | L | 38 | 3 | 3 | 6.63 | 1.87 |
With the addition of Cliff Lee, the M's starting rotation looks to be the strength of the organization. With two legitimate #1 starters, this will be a tough team to beat, especially in a long series. The depth of the rotation somewhat relies on the M's third starter, Ryan Rowland-Smith, who has showed flashes of brilliance, but has been inconsistent due to injuries. If he can solidify the #3 spot, and stay away from injuries, the M's should have a very strong starting pitching staff.
Closer
| Name | R/L | IP | SV | W | L | ERA | WHIP |
| David Aardsma | R | 71 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 2.52 | 1.16 |
Aardsma, after taking the closer duties from Brandon Morrow within the first month of last season, did well in converting 38 saves to just 4 blow save opportunities. With the addition of Cliff Lee, an improved M's team and a year of experience under his belt, look for Aardsma to have a better 2010.
Relief Staff
| Name | R/L | W | L | ERA | K | BB | WHIP | Age |
| Brandon League | R | 3 | 6 | 4.58 | 76 | 21 | 1.25 | 26 |
| Gaby Hernandez | R | No Stats Available | 23 | |||||
| Garrett Olson | L | 3 | 5 | 5.60 | 47 | 34 | 1.41 | 26 |
| Jason Vargas | L | 3 | 6 | 4.91 | 54 | 24 | 1.33 | 26 |
| Mark Lowe | R | 2 | 7 | 3.26 | 69 | 29 | 1.25 | 26 |
| Shawn Kelley | R | 5 | 4 | 4.50 | 41 | 9 | 1.17 | 25 |
| Yusmeiro Petit | R | 3 | 10 | 5.82 | 74 | 34 | 1.52 | 25 |
Here is what I love about the M's relief pitchers, the average age is 25 years old. Zduriencik is clearly going young and building for the future. The M's are bringing back their three best relief pitchers Aardsma, Lowe and Kelley, and have added some youth with Petit and Hernandez. One improvement over last season is that the M's will be starting out the year with two lefties, which is two more than at the start of the 2009 season.
Major Off-Season Moves
Here is an overall overview of the off-season moves.
Acquired:
- Casey Kotchman - (traded from Boston Red Sox for Bill Hall)
- Chone Figgins (signed)
- Cliff Lee (traded from Phillies in a 3-way trade with Toronto)
- Milton Bradley (traded from Chicago Cubs for Carlos Silva)
- Brandon League (traded from Toronto Blue Jays for Brandon Morrow)
- Yusmeiro Petit (claimed off waivers from Arizona Diamondbacks)
- Adriane Beltre - (signed with Boston)
- Bill Hall - (traded to Boston Red Sox for Casey Kotchman)
- Brandon Morrow - (traded to Toronto Blue Jays for Brandon League)
- Carlos Silva - (traded to the Chicago Cubs for Milton Bradley)
- Chris Jakubauskas - (claimed off waivers by the Pittsburgh Pirates)
- Endy Chavez - (has yet to sign)
- Kenji Johjima - (retired/moved back to Japan)
- Russell Branyan - (has yet to sign)
- Signed free-agent outfielder Corey Patterson
- Re-signed free-agent shortstop Josh Wilson
- Claimed pitcher Kanekoa Texeira from the Yankees' Trenton farm team in the Rule 5 Draft
- Acquired Minor League outfielder Johermyn Chavez from Toronto (in Morrow deal).
- Signed free-agent catcher Josh Bard and right-handed reliever Chad Cordero to Minor League contract.
Zduriencik
I love the work that Jack Zduriencik has done so far, especially with the addition of Cliff Lee and the speedy Chone Figgins, but let's hope he's not done with regard to adding some power at the plate. I have a suspicion that the current roster will basically be the same one that we see during spring training and the start of the season, but I still think that a mid-season move is not out of the question. Look for the M's to make some moves before the trade deadline if it becomes apparent a power hitter is needed.
Here are a few more news links on the M's moves:
Report: Mariners talking to Tatis
Gutierrez agrees to four-year contract extension
Zduriencik: 'We'll take our chances and see where we go'
DH denied: Martinez falls short in first Hall vote
Griffey excited for 22nd and possibly final season
A Hypothetical Felix Hernandez Extension
Addressing The Kotchman/LaRoche Situation
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Does ANYONE Really Enjoy Reading Steve Kelley?
I certainly do not. Let's take a look at his article on the possibility of the Seahawks hiring Pete Carroll, before it became reality.
This mindless rant chronicles, in Kelley's mind, how awful the Pete Carroll hire would potentially be if the Seahawks chose to go in that direction (they did). Here are my favorite excepts from that Seattle Times article, which can be found in its entirety here - Picking Pete Carroll would make bad situation worse:
"Pete Carroll? Really? Is that all the Seahawks have for their beleaguered fans?
Pete Carroll? Is that the Seahawks' best answer for these past two losing seasons?
Now, I like a rant every now and then as much as the next guy, but Kelley's article produces very little in the way of a convincing argument and instead relies solely on his repetitious use of Pete Carroll's name. He is quick to cite Carroll's past NFL track record as a negative (33-31), yet glosses over his astounding college coaching record (97–19).
This is so clearly an article written by a man with a simple dislike for an individual (Pete Carroll) or a decision (hiring a high profile college head coach to be the head coach of an NFL franchise), but what it is NOT is a level-headed argument based on the facts.
Finally, here is my favorite part:
"Now the Seahawks' decision-makers appear to be going for the glitter. They've got stars in their eyes. They are blinded by Carroll's college success, forgetting how poorly he did as an NFL head coach."
Steve, he was 33-31, which if I'm not mistaken, isn't awful for a first time head coach in the NFL. This time around, Carroll has a track record of success at USC, and also his experience from his first NFL stint to guide him in his new position.
I think Carroll sums it up best himself:
"I was not at my best in New York. I can't tell you how far away I was then. I was not at my best in New England. I think the Seahawks have benefited from the fact of what I've been through."
Steve Kelley?
Really? The guy who writes meaningless opinion pieces with no substantiated evidence for his claims and assertions?
Really Seattle Times? Steve Kelley?
[Steve Kelley is a Seattle Times Sports columnist]
This mindless rant chronicles, in Kelley's mind, how awful the Pete Carroll hire would potentially be if the Seahawks chose to go in that direction (they did). Here are my favorite excepts from that Seattle Times article, which can be found in its entirety here - Picking Pete Carroll would make bad situation worse:
"Pete Carroll? Really? Is that all the Seahawks have for their beleaguered fans?
Pete Carroll? The guy who lasted one season with the New York Jets and finished 6-10? The guy who was fired after three seasons as the coach of the Patriots?
Pete Carroll? Isn't he a college coach? A rah-rah guy? The ace recruiter, who stacked his USC rosters with two of everything, like a modern day Noah?Pete Carroll? Is that the Seahawks' best answer for these past two losing seasons?
Pete Carroll? Are the Hawks really making him president as well as coach? Giving him Holmgren-like powers, more power than Carroll's had in any job ever? Based on what NFL track record, exactly?
Pete Carroll? Are the Seahawks serious? Isn't this just another in a series of ham-handed moves by this once-proud franchise?
Is Pete Carroll the best solution for a better Seahawks tomorrow?
Pete Carroll?"
Now, I like a rant every now and then as much as the next guy, but Kelley's article produces very little in the way of a convincing argument and instead relies solely on his repetitious use of Pete Carroll's name. He is quick to cite Carroll's past NFL track record as a negative (33-31), yet glosses over his astounding college coaching record (97–19).
This is so clearly an article written by a man with a simple dislike for an individual (Pete Carroll) or a decision (hiring a high profile college head coach to be the head coach of an NFL franchise), but what it is NOT is a level-headed argument based on the facts.
Finally, here is my favorite part:
"Now the Seahawks' decision-makers appear to be going for the glitter. They've got stars in their eyes. They are blinded by Carroll's college success, forgetting how poorly he did as an NFL head coach."
Steve, he was 33-31, which if I'm not mistaken, isn't awful for a first time head coach in the NFL. This time around, Carroll has a track record of success at USC, and also his experience from his first NFL stint to guide him in his new position.
I think Carroll sums it up best himself:
"I was not at my best in New York. I can't tell you how far away I was then. I was not at my best in New England. I think the Seahawks have benefited from the fact of what I've been through."
Steve Kelley?
Really? The guy who writes meaningless opinion pieces with no substantiated evidence for his claims and assertions?
Really Seattle Times? Steve Kelley?
[Steve Kelley is a Seattle Times Sports columnist]
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Lane Kiffin to USC?
Rivals.com is reporting that Lane Kiffin, after just one year at Tennessee (going 7-6, leading them to the Chick-fil-A Bowl), is jetting to the West-Coast to coach USC after the departure of Pete Carroll to the Seattle Seahawks.
Kiffin, who was a USC assistant for Carroll from 2001-2006, was met with a fair degree of controversy in his previous head coaching jobs with the Oakland Raiders and the Tennessee Volunteers. It appears USC is willing to overlook those shortcomings in favor of Kiffin's upside.
A younger version of Pete Carroll to a certain extend, Kiffin is energetic, outgoing, and a good recruiter - all attributes that USC values tremendously. Kiffin vacancy at Tennessee leaves the school searching for its second coach in as many years.
Kiffin, who was a USC assistant for Carroll from 2001-2006, was met with a fair degree of controversy in his previous head coaching jobs with the Oakland Raiders and the Tennessee Volunteers. It appears USC is willing to overlook those shortcomings in favor of Kiffin's upside.
A younger version of Pete Carroll to a certain extend, Kiffin is energetic, outgoing, and a good recruiter - all attributes that USC values tremendously. Kiffin vacancy at Tennessee leaves the school searching for its second coach in as many years.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Predictions: Divisional Round
After the Wild Card round I am 2-2 in my predictions, the toughest of the losses being my pick for the Packers to knock off the Cardinals. Let's see if I can bounce back this week in the Divisional Round with a 3-1 or 4-0 record.
Divisional Playoffs
AFC
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
Saturday, January 16th - Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis), 5:15 p.m. PST, CBS
Though the Ravens defense is one of the more physical and imposing in the league, especially on opponents running game, they have to prove they can stop Peyton Manning through the air this Saturday in Indianapolis. Manning has thrown 17 TDs to just 7 INTs in his past 9 games against the Ravens, and with the emergence of Pierre Garçon this year, Manning now has 4 legitimate weapons in the passing game (Wayne, Clark, Garçon and Addai out of the backfield).
The test for the Colts will be whether they can effectively run that ball against the tough Ravens D. The Ravens on the other hand will have to rely on their run game, resting on the shoulders of Ray Rice, interspersed periodically with runs from Willis McGahee. They will need a better performance from Joe Flacco than his lackluster 4-10, 34 yd and 1 INT against the Patriots last week.
Experience is worth exponentially more in the playoffs, especially with regard to your quarterback play, and in the end the play of the league's MVP will find a way to propel the Colts to victory.
Colts win at home.
New York Jets @ San Diego Chargers
Sunday, January 17th - 1:40 p.m. PST, CBS
This should indeed be a great match-up on both sides of the ball, but especially the battle between the Chargers offense and the Jets defense. The Chargers will be taking their dynamic passing attack against the Jets and their #1 pass defense in the league, while the Jets and their #1 rushing offense in the league will be battling a Charger defense that ranked #20 in rushing defense (giving up 117 rushing yards per game).
The key for the Jets will be controlling the time-of-possession with their run game and keeping the ball out of the hands of Phillip Rivers and the Chargers offense. The Jets have not given up more than 15 points in over 7 weeks.
The key for the Chargers is to loosen up the Jets defense with some down field passes, which will then open up the middle of the field to Antonio Gates to exploit. Also look for LT and Sproles out of the backfield to catch some intermediate (check-down) passes, as their run game has significantly gone down this year. In the end the high flying Charger offense and Phillip Rivers knack for 4th quarter heroics will be too much for the Jets.
Chargers win at home.
NFC
Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints
Saturday, January 16th - 1:30 p.m. PST, FOX
The key for the upcoming match-up between the Cardinals and Saints will be which team handles their various situation better. The Cardinals, coming off of an overtime shootout of truly epic proportions this past weekend, must avoid a emotional and physical letdown after playing in the highest combined scoring playoff game in history. How will that win affect the Cardinals energy and sharpness this weekend? The Saints will be well rested after having and entire week off, given by head coach Sean Payton in the first week off due to their first round bye, and should be primed for a shootout themselves. How will this layoff affect their cohesiveness, especially after resting many of their starters the last weeks of the regular season?
I see this game being a lower scoring affair than most expect it to be, especially with the Saints time off and the Cardinals coming off an emotional and hard fought victory. Both teams have prolific passing offenses, but the key to this game will be which team can intersperse the run effectively amongst the down-field attack. I see Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush having a bigger impact than Beanie Wells and Time Hightower.
In the end, this game could come down to special teams play and the kicking game. Would you want the game winning or game tying kick resting on the shoulders of Neil Rackers? Me either.
Saints win at home.
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, January 17th - 10:00 a.m. PST, FOX
This season Dallas has not allowed a 100-yard rusher and Minnesota hasn't lost at home - I am positive one of those two trends will be broken this Sunday.
The key for the Cowboys is to limit the run game (Adrian Peterson), and get pressure on the quarterback (Bret Favre), both things the Cowboys have excelled at of late. When pressured, Favre has the tendency to employ his gunslinger mentality even more than usual, which usually leads to turnovers. On the offensive side of the ball, Romo needs to find Miles Austin and exploit the Minnesota secondary, loosening up the run for the tandem of Jones, Barber and Choice.
For the Vikings, the key to the game is that they have to control the line of scrimmage and play effective pass defense. The Viking D has possibly one of the toughest tasks this Sunday, stopping the red hot Cowboy offense. Equally as important, being effective offensively against a Cowboy defense that has allowed just 31 points in their past four games (all wins).
As Trent Dilfer said, "I'm drinking the Cowboy koolaid." Call it a gut feeling, but I see the Boys in the NFC Championship. In the 1990's Bret Favre lost all three of his playoff games against the Cowboys, being outscored by an average of 16 points a game. I see history repeating itself on Sunday. Minnesota will have trouble containing Miles Austin in the secondary, along with the committee of running backs the Cowboys will employ.
Cowboys win on the road.
Divisional Playoffs
AFC
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts
Saturday, January 16th - Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis), 5:15 p.m. PST, CBS
Though the Ravens defense is one of the more physical and imposing in the league, especially on opponents running game, they have to prove they can stop Peyton Manning through the air this Saturday in Indianapolis. Manning has thrown 17 TDs to just 7 INTs in his past 9 games against the Ravens, and with the emergence of Pierre Garçon this year, Manning now has 4 legitimate weapons in the passing game (Wayne, Clark, Garçon and Addai out of the backfield).
The test for the Colts will be whether they can effectively run that ball against the tough Ravens D. The Ravens on the other hand will have to rely on their run game, resting on the shoulders of Ray Rice, interspersed periodically with runs from Willis McGahee. They will need a better performance from Joe Flacco than his lackluster 4-10, 34 yd and 1 INT against the Patriots last week.
Experience is worth exponentially more in the playoffs, especially with regard to your quarterback play, and in the end the play of the league's MVP will find a way to propel the Colts to victory.
Colts win at home.
New York Jets @ San Diego Chargers
Sunday, January 17th - 1:40 p.m. PST, CBS
This should indeed be a great match-up on both sides of the ball, but especially the battle between the Chargers offense and the Jets defense. The Chargers will be taking their dynamic passing attack against the Jets and their #1 pass defense in the league, while the Jets and their #1 rushing offense in the league will be battling a Charger defense that ranked #20 in rushing defense (giving up 117 rushing yards per game).
The key for the Jets will be controlling the time-of-possession with their run game and keeping the ball out of the hands of Phillip Rivers and the Chargers offense. The Jets have not given up more than 15 points in over 7 weeks.
The key for the Chargers is to loosen up the Jets defense with some down field passes, which will then open up the middle of the field to Antonio Gates to exploit. Also look for LT and Sproles out of the backfield to catch some intermediate (check-down) passes, as their run game has significantly gone down this year. In the end the high flying Charger offense and Phillip Rivers knack for 4th quarter heroics will be too much for the Jets.
Chargers win at home.
NFC
Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints
Saturday, January 16th - 1:30 p.m. PST, FOX
The key for the upcoming match-up between the Cardinals and Saints will be which team handles their various situation better. The Cardinals, coming off of an overtime shootout of truly epic proportions this past weekend, must avoid a emotional and physical letdown after playing in the highest combined scoring playoff game in history. How will that win affect the Cardinals energy and sharpness this weekend? The Saints will be well rested after having and entire week off, given by head coach Sean Payton in the first week off due to their first round bye, and should be primed for a shootout themselves. How will this layoff affect their cohesiveness, especially after resting many of their starters the last weeks of the regular season?
I see this game being a lower scoring affair than most expect it to be, especially with the Saints time off and the Cardinals coming off an emotional and hard fought victory. Both teams have prolific passing offenses, but the key to this game will be which team can intersperse the run effectively amongst the down-field attack. I see Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell and Reggie Bush having a bigger impact than Beanie Wells and Time Hightower.
In the end, this game could come down to special teams play and the kicking game. Would you want the game winning or game tying kick resting on the shoulders of Neil Rackers? Me either.
Saints win at home.
Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, January 17th - 10:00 a.m. PST, FOX
This season Dallas has not allowed a 100-yard rusher and Minnesota hasn't lost at home - I am positive one of those two trends will be broken this Sunday.
The key for the Cowboys is to limit the run game (Adrian Peterson), and get pressure on the quarterback (Bret Favre), both things the Cowboys have excelled at of late. When pressured, Favre has the tendency to employ his gunslinger mentality even more than usual, which usually leads to turnovers. On the offensive side of the ball, Romo needs to find Miles Austin and exploit the Minnesota secondary, loosening up the run for the tandem of Jones, Barber and Choice.
For the Vikings, the key to the game is that they have to control the line of scrimmage and play effective pass defense. The Viking D has possibly one of the toughest tasks this Sunday, stopping the red hot Cowboy offense. Equally as important, being effective offensively against a Cowboy defense that has allowed just 31 points in their past four games (all wins).
As Trent Dilfer said, "I'm drinking the Cowboy koolaid." Call it a gut feeling, but I see the Boys in the NFC Championship. In the 1990's Bret Favre lost all three of his playoff games against the Cowboys, being outscored by an average of 16 points a game. I see history repeating itself on Sunday. Minnesota will have trouble containing Miles Austin in the secondary, along with the committee of running backs the Cowboys will employ.
Cowboys win on the road.
Breaking News: McGwire Admitts Steroid Use
McGwire Comes clean about steroid use
In a statement sent to the media today by Mark McGwire, the former Home Run champion came clean about using steroids "on and off for a decade," something many had suspected for a long time. This confession, which undoubtedly came as no shock to many avid baseball fans, is nonetheless disappointing to hear that yet another star in the "steroid era" has admitted to using.
"I'm sure people will wonder if I could have hit all those home runs had I never taken steroids," McGwire said. "I had good years when I didn't take any, and I had bad years when I didn't take any. I had good years when I took steroids, and I had bad years when I took steroids. But no matter what, I shouldn't have done it and for that I'm truly sorry."
In a statement sent to the media today by Mark McGwire, the former Home Run champion came clean about using steroids "on and off for a decade," something many had suspected for a long time. This confession, which undoubtedly came as no shock to many avid baseball fans, is nonetheless disappointing to hear that yet another star in the "steroid era" has admitted to using.
"I'm sure people will wonder if I could have hit all those home runs had I never taken steroids," McGwire said. "I had good years when I didn't take any, and I had bad years when I didn't take any. I had good years when I took steroids, and I had bad years when I took steroids. But no matter what, I shouldn't have done it and for that I'm truly sorry."
Pete Carroll
Pete Carroll officially announced as Hawks Head Coach
Sports Illustrated is announcing that Pete Carroll has officially been announced at the Seahawks new head coach. Carroll, who has NFL head coaching experience before his stint at USC, is said to be going to have a press conference on Tuesday to announce it to the media.
I am excited, not only what what Pete Carroll will bring to the Hawks next season, but also what he will do in the 2010 draft. Carroll, one of the best at talent evaluation, will have the 6th and 14th pick in the first round.
Sports Illustrated is announcing that Pete Carroll has officially been announced at the Seahawks new head coach. Carroll, who has NFL head coaching experience before his stint at USC, is said to be going to have a press conference on Tuesday to announce it to the media.
I am excited, not only what what Pete Carroll will bring to the Hawks next season, but also what he will do in the 2010 draft. Carroll, one of the best at talent evaluation, will have the 6th and 14th pick in the first round.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Predictions: After Wild Card Weekend - 2-2
After the first-round of NFL playoff games - 'Wild Card Weekend,' my predictions for the 4 games ended up 2-2... Let's recap.
Correct
Sanchez and the Jets beat Bengals, 24-14
Mark Sanchez played a superb for the Jets in just the rookie's first playoff game, completing 80% of his passes and finishing the game with a passer rating of 139.4. The game featured two quarterbacks from the same college program, the University of Southern Cal, and saw the younger Sanchez greatly outperform his USC counterpart Carson Palmer.
The other big performer[s] was the Jets defense, frustrating Carson Palmer and the Bengals passing attack, recording 3 sacks, 2 forced fumble, 1 fumble recovery, and 1 INT. The Bengals were simply too one-dimensional in the loss, unable to move the ball through the air a majority of the game.
Cedric Benson had a big game for the Bengals in the loss, but even his 169 yards on the ground weren't enough for the Bengals in the end.
Correct
Cowboys romp on Eagles, 34-14
Tony Romo led the Cowboys to their first playoff victory since 1996, dismantling the Eagles 34-14. Romo finished with 23-35, 244 yds and 2 TDs passing. Wade Phillips, the Dallas head coach, had been 0-4 in playoff games with the Cowboys up until this year.
The Eagles simply looked over-matched in the loss, both physically and mentally, as they dropped their only first-round playoff game under Andy Reid. Donovan McNabb went 19-37, 230 yds, with 1 TD, 1 INT, finishing with a passer rating of 68.5.
The Cowboys also got a big game from Felix Jones, who had 73-yard touchdown run in the 3rd quarter. Jones finished the game with 148 yds rushing and 1 TD.
Incorrect
Rice, Ravens pound Patriots 33-24
Ray Rice scored on his first run from scrimmage, an 83-yard TD run, and the Ravens never looked back. Before the Patriots could look up, it was the start of the 2nd quarter and they were already down 24-0. Rice finished the game with 22 Rush, 159 yds and 2 TDs.
Led by their formula of physical running and defensive play, the Ravens forced 4 turnovers, 3 INTs and 1 fumble recovery - all from Tom Brady, who struggled mightily. Brady finished the game 23-42, 154 yds, 2 TDs and 3 INTs.
While the positives are sure to give the Ravens confidence going into next weeks game, one area of improvement will need to be the quarterback play by Joe Flacco. Flacco, while not needed much in this victory, will need to improve next week on his 4-10, 34 yd and 1 INT performance this week.
Incorrect
Cardinals win shoot-out, 51-45
A playoff record - 96 combined points, a 17-0 lead that was erased, and lots of drama made this an unbelievable game to watch. Aaron Rodgers and Kurt Warner stole the show, but in the end the Cardinals defense made a big play in OT when the Packers defense could not.
Aaron Rodgers ended the game 28-42, 422 yds, 4 TDs, 1 INT, and 3 Rush, 13 yds and 1 TD. Kurt Warner ended up 29-33, 379 yds and 5 TDs.
The shoot-out made for one of the most impressive offensive displays in playoff history.
New Bracket
My sleeper pick for the Super Bowl, the Green Bay Packers, are out. Hmmm... I'll need to reevaluate the teams that remain after this weekend's games. Stay tuned for my picks for next week.
Saturday, January 9, 2010
Report - Pete Carroll to leave USC to become Seahawks head coach
The report is that, after the Seahawks go about the formality of interviewing a minority candidate for the Head Coach vacancy, the Seahawks will announce the hiring of Pete Carroll as Head Coach.
Sources: Pete Carroll to leave USC and become Seahawks Head Coach
Sources: Seattle, Carroll agree on deal - Video
This is a very unbelievable turn of events, especially considering the Washington Huskies stole the USC offensive & defensive coordinator last year to become the Head Coach and Defensive Coordinator at UW, and now the Seahawks are stealing their head coach... Sorry USC.
Here is an article by Steve Kelley (I'm not a big fan), writing on the Carroll decision.
Picking Pete Carroll would make bad situation worsel
Kelley does not like the move, citing Pete Carroll's previous NFL coaching experience as a negative.
I see the Carroll decision being a move in a new direction, which I like, and I also don't think that Carroll's experience as an NFL coach was as terrible as Kelley makes it out to be. Carroll went 27-21 in three seasons with the Patriots, making the playoffs 2 out of 3 seasons (1997-99). He is much more experienced as a Head Coach now (albeit, at the NCAA D-1 level), and is as experienced an evaluator of talent as anyone in the college or pro ranks. With the Seahawks 2 draft picks in the first round, Carroll should make 2010 a good draft for the Hawks.
Sources: Pete Carroll to leave USC and become Seahawks Head Coach
Sources: Seattle, Carroll agree on deal - Video
This is a very unbelievable turn of events, especially considering the Washington Huskies stole the USC offensive & defensive coordinator last year to become the Head Coach and Defensive Coordinator at UW, and now the Seahawks are stealing their head coach... Sorry USC.
Here is an article by Steve Kelley (I'm not a big fan), writing on the Carroll decision.
Picking Pete Carroll would make bad situation worsel
Kelley does not like the move, citing Pete Carroll's previous NFL coaching experience as a negative.
I see the Carroll decision being a move in a new direction, which I like, and I also don't think that Carroll's experience as an NFL coach was as terrible as Kelley makes it out to be. Carroll went 27-21 in three seasons with the Patriots, making the playoffs 2 out of 3 seasons (1997-99). He is much more experienced as a Head Coach now (albeit, at the NCAA D-1 level), and is as experienced an evaluator of talent as anyone in the college or pro ranks. With the Seahawks 2 draft picks in the first round, Carroll should make 2010 a good draft for the Hawks.
Friday, January 8, 2010
Jim Mora Fired
Mora was ousted after just one season as Seahawks head coach... Now the Hawks will need to fill vacancies at General Manager and Head Coach, making the overhaul complete.
Seahawks fire Jim Mora after one season as head coach
Seahawks fire Jim Mora after one season as head coach
2009/2010 NFL Playoff Predictions
It's one day before the 2010 NFL Playoffs begin, which means one thing - PREDICTION TIME.
Wild Card
AFC
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals
NFC
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Subsequent Picks
My picks, prior to the playoffs starting:
Wild Card - Jets over Bengals, Cowboys over Eagles, Patiots over Ravens, Packers over Cardinals.
Divisional - Colts over Jets, Cowboys over Saints, Chargers over Patriots, Packers over Vikings.
Conference - Chargers over Colts, Packers over Cowboys.
Super Bowl - Chargers over Packers.
Wild Card
AFC
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals
- The Jets run game will simply be too much for the Bengals, and Ochocinco and the Bengals offense will get shut down for the second game in a row. Even without Cedric Benson, the 37-0 loss last week to the Jets has to be in the back of their mind. If Benson has a good game the Bengals have a chance, but I still see the Jets defense stifling the Bengals. Jets win on the road.
- Last time around saw a close game between the two teams, with the Patriots winning 27-21 at home. Brady and the Pats are a different team come playoff team, even without Welker, and Brady hasn't lost a game at home since 2006. Look for Moss to re-emerge in the playoffs with a big game. Patriots win at home.
NFC
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
- The Cowboys have been on a roll lately, going 3-0 with 2 shut-outs in their last three games of the regular season. In order for the Eagles to have a chance, Brian Westbrook needs to re-emerge onto the scene and help McNabb and Jackson on the offensive side of the ball. Like the Bengals, the Eagles face a team in the first round of the playoffs that shut them out the previous week, which no matter what anyone says, is never good for the psyche. The Cowboys seem to be finally running on all cylinders. Cowboys win at home.
- The Packers have been one of the most impressive teams in the second half of the season going 7-1 in their last 8 games, their only loss being a 1-point defeat @ Pittsburgh. Arizona usually rises to the occasion in January and won't make it easy, but the symmetry and balance with which the Packers are playing with right now will be too much for the men from the desert. Look for Packers tight end Jermichael Finley to roam free down the middle of the field and have a big game. Packers win on the road.
Subsequent Picks
My picks, prior to the playoffs starting:
Wild Card - Jets over Bengals, Cowboys over Eagles, Patiots over Ravens, Packers over Cardinals.
Divisional - Colts over Jets, Cowboys over Saints, Chargers over Patriots, Packers over Vikings.
Conference - Chargers over Colts, Packers over Cowboys.
Super Bowl - Chargers over Packers.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Fantasy Football Season: Predictions - Tight Ends
Blog number four = Tight Ends.
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
1. Vernon Davis (SF)- 174 points.
2. Dallas Clark (Ind)- 171 points.
3. Antonio Gates (SD)- 163 points.
4. Brent Celek (Phi)- 145 points.
5. Tony Gonzalez (Atl)- 122 points.
6. Visanthe Shiancoe (Min)- 122 points.
7. Kellem Winslow (TB)- 119 points.
8. Jason Witten (Dal)- 115 points.
9. Heath Miller (Pit)- 114 points.
10. Greg Olsen (Chi)- 109 points.
1. Vernon Davis (SF)
Davis came into his own this season, finding the end-zone 13 times, a league leading total for tight ends and tied for the league lead for receivers as well. Davis is a physical specimen (6'3, 250 lbs), and should repeat next season as the fantasy king for tight ends.
2009/2010 stats: 965 receiving yards, 78 receptions and 13 touchdowns.
2. Dallas Clark (Ind)
Targeted often by Manning, Clark was his favorite target over the middle and was a consistent threat all season long. Clark notched over 1,000 yards receiving for the first time in his career, his best games coming against Miami - 7 receptions for 183 receiving yards and a touchdown, and Houston - 14 receptions for 119 yards receiving.
2009/2010 stats: 1,106 receiving yards, 100 receptions and 10 touchdowns.
3. Antonio Gates (SD)
Gates notched over 1,000 yards receiving for the second time in his career, and has been a top-3 tight end consistently for the past 5 years. Next year will be no different.
2009/2010 stats: 1,157 receiving yards, 79 receptions and 8 touchdowns.
4. Brent Celek (Phi)
Celek had a breakout season in his 3rd year in the league, and should improve yet again next season. 2009/2010 stats: 971 receiving yards, 76 receptions and 8 touchdowns.
5. Kellen Winslow (TB) ↑
Winslow had a decent season in his first year in Tampa, but I would like to see him improve his touchdown totals. Winslow has never had more than 5 touchdowns in a season in his career so far. 2009/2010 stats: 884 receiving yards, 77 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
6. Tony Gonzalez (Atl)
Gonzalez's numbers were slightly down this year, but that's expected with the change of location. Look for him to get back to the 1,000 yard mark next season.
2009/2010 stats: 867 receiving yards, 83 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
7. Jermichael Finley (GB) ↑
Look for a breakout year from Finley in what will be his 3rd year in the league. He missed some time this year, and with another year under his belt, and in one of the leagues more prolific passing offenses, he should improve on his numbers from this year significantly.
2009/2010 stats: 676 receiving yards, 55 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
8. Jason Whitten (Dal)
Whitten reaches the 1,000 yard mark for the 2nd time in his career, but his touchdown total went down for the 3rd year in a row. To be an elite tight end, he needs to find the end-zone more. 2009/2010 stats: 1,030 receiving yards, 94 receptions and 2 touchdowns.
9. John Carlson (Sea) ↑
Carlson was partly a casualty of the Seahawks dreadful season, but he did up his touchdown total from the year before (5). Look for him to have a better year yardage wise in 2010/2011.
574 receiving yards, 51 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
10. Visanthe Shiancoe (Min)
Shiancoe's fantasy value was inflated because of his touchdown total, but he seems to have built a good chemistry with Favre in the red-zone. If that continues, he should be a top-10 tight end next year. 2009/2010 stats: 566 receiving yards, 56 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
1. Vernon Davis (SF)- 174 points.
2. Dallas Clark (Ind)- 171 points.
3. Antonio Gates (SD)- 163 points.
4. Brent Celek (Phi)- 145 points.
5. Tony Gonzalez (Atl)- 122 points.
6. Visanthe Shiancoe (Min)- 122 points.
7. Kellem Winslow (TB)- 119 points.
8. Jason Witten (Dal)- 115 points.
9. Heath Miller (Pit)- 114 points.
10. Greg Olsen (Chi)- 109 points.
1. Vernon Davis (SF)
Davis came into his own this season, finding the end-zone 13 times, a league leading total for tight ends and tied for the league lead for receivers as well. Davis is a physical specimen (6'3, 250 lbs), and should repeat next season as the fantasy king for tight ends.
2009/2010 stats: 965 receiving yards, 78 receptions and 13 touchdowns.
2. Dallas Clark (Ind)
Targeted often by Manning, Clark was his favorite target over the middle and was a consistent threat all season long. Clark notched over 1,000 yards receiving for the first time in his career, his best games coming against Miami - 7 receptions for 183 receiving yards and a touchdown, and Houston - 14 receptions for 119 yards receiving.
2009/2010 stats: 1,106 receiving yards, 100 receptions and 10 touchdowns.
3. Antonio Gates (SD)
Gates notched over 1,000 yards receiving for the second time in his career, and has been a top-3 tight end consistently for the past 5 years. Next year will be no different.
2009/2010 stats: 1,157 receiving yards, 79 receptions and 8 touchdowns.
4. Brent Celek (Phi)
Celek had a breakout season in his 3rd year in the league, and should improve yet again next season. 2009/2010 stats: 971 receiving yards, 76 receptions and 8 touchdowns.
5. Kellen Winslow (TB) ↑
Winslow had a decent season in his first year in Tampa, but I would like to see him improve his touchdown totals. Winslow has never had more than 5 touchdowns in a season in his career so far. 2009/2010 stats: 884 receiving yards, 77 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
6. Tony Gonzalez (Atl)
Gonzalez's numbers were slightly down this year, but that's expected with the change of location. Look for him to get back to the 1,000 yard mark next season.
2009/2010 stats: 867 receiving yards, 83 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
7. Jermichael Finley (GB) ↑
Look for a breakout year from Finley in what will be his 3rd year in the league. He missed some time this year, and with another year under his belt, and in one of the leagues more prolific passing offenses, he should improve on his numbers from this year significantly.
2009/2010 stats: 676 receiving yards, 55 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
8. Jason Whitten (Dal)
Whitten reaches the 1,000 yard mark for the 2nd time in his career, but his touchdown total went down for the 3rd year in a row. To be an elite tight end, he needs to find the end-zone more. 2009/2010 stats: 1,030 receiving yards, 94 receptions and 2 touchdowns.
9. John Carlson (Sea) ↑
Carlson was partly a casualty of the Seahawks dreadful season, but he did up his touchdown total from the year before (5). Look for him to have a better year yardage wise in 2010/2011.
574 receiving yards, 51 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
10. Visanthe Shiancoe (Min)
Shiancoe's fantasy value was inflated because of his touchdown total, but he seems to have built a good chemistry with Favre in the red-zone. If that continues, he should be a top-10 tight end next year. 2009/2010 stats: 566 receiving yards, 56 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
2010/2011 Fantasy Football Draft Links
Here are some helpful links for draft tips for next year (2010/2011).
Side Note: You know what is aggravating??? I outscored EVERY OTHER TEAM in my fantasy league by over 100 points, but because it was a head-to-head scoring league I didn't win the league. 3rd place leaves a bitter taste in my mouth...
Side Note: You know what is aggravating??? I outscored EVERY OTHER TEAM in my fantasy league by over 100 points, but because it was a head-to-head scoring league I didn't win the league. 3rd place leaves a bitter taste in my mouth...
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Fantasy Football Season: Predictions - Wide Receivers
Blog number three = Wide Receivers.
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
1. Andrew Johnson (Hou)- 213 points.
2. Randy Moss (NE)- 204 points.
3. DeSean Jackson (Phi)- 200 points.
4. Miles Austin (Dal)- 197 points.
5. Larry Fitzgerald (Ari)- 187 points.
6. Reggie Wayne (Ind)- 185 points.
7. Roddy White (Alt)- 181 points.
8. Sidney Rice (Min)- 177 points.
9. Brandon Marshall (Den)- 175 points.
10. Vincent Jackson (SD)- 171 points.
11. Steve Smith (NYG)- 164 points.
12. Wes Welker (NE)- 162 points.
13. Marques Colston (NO)- 158 points.
14. Chad Ochocinco (Cin)- 157 points.
15. Santonio Holmes (Pit)- 154 points.
1. Andre Johnson (Hou)
My reasoning behind taking Johnson ahead of Fitzgerald is partly due to the uncertainty with the quarterback situation in Arizona if Warner isn't under center, but also because Johnson is the only player to have over 1,500 yards receiving in each of the past 2 seasons, and he still has room for improvement with regard to his touchdown totals. His stats this year were ridiculous: 1,569 yards receiving, 101 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
2. Larry Fitzgerald (Ari)
Larry is the definition of consistency and reliability. Johnson has averaged 1,310 yards receiving, 97 catches and 11 touchdowns over the past 3 seasons. The only issue that could arrise is if Warner retires.
3. DeSean Jackson (Phi) ↑
Jackson was truly the best deep threat in the NFL this season, averaging 18.5 yards per catch and became a favorite target for McNabb in only his second year in the league. He has enormous upside, especially with the addition of his punt return numbers.
2009/2010 stats: 1,167 yards receiving, 63 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
4. Miles Austin (Dal) ↑
I gave Austin the edge over Marshall here because of his consistency when thrown the ball late in the season, and because Marshall has shown some character issues that have caused him to miss some time. Austin, coming from relative obscurity, has become the favorite target of Romo and should thrive next season for the Cowboys. Imagine his numbers had he had more than 5 receptions in his first 4 games (totaling 81 yards).
2009/2010 stats: 1,320 receiving yards, 81 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
5. Brandon Marshall (Den)
Although Marshall's receiving yards have gone down the past three years 1,325 (07'/08'), 1,265 (08'/09') and 1,120 (09'/10'), and seems at time to have character issues, he still is a physically gifted receiver that can whip out record breaking games in a flash (see his 21 reception, 201 yard receiving and 2 touchdowns verses the Colts in week 14).
6. Reggie Wayne (Ind)
Perennial 1,000 yard receiver in a high octane offense (6 straight seasons, averaging 1,249 a season during that period); Wayne is a sure thing for 8-10 touchdowns a season.
2009/2010 stats: 1,264 receiving yards, 100 receptions and 10 touchdowns.
6. Randy Moss (NE)
Moss has averaged 1,255 yards receiving, 83 catches and 15 touchdowns over the past 3 seasons. Although age is a factor, with Brady throwing him the rock there is no reason he shouldn't be in the top-5 point total wise next season.
7. Sidney Rice ↑
Had a breakout season in his 3rd year in the league, hooking up with Favre often in 2009/2010. Totaled 1,312 receiving yards (4th in the league), 83 receptions and 8 touchdowns, Rice still has tremendous upside. Hopefully for his sake, Favre is behind center again next season.
8. Vincent Jackson ↑
Thriving in a power packed offense, Jackson has improved his production each year in the league. Averaging 17.2 yards per catch in 2009/2010, it won't be hard for him to improve his number yet again if targeted more. 2009/2010 stats: 1,167 receiving yards, 68 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
9. Calvin Johnson
Johnson took a step back this year after a stellar sophomore year campaign, but should bounce back in 2010/2011. Having three different quarterbacks in one year can have that affect on a wide out, not to mention him missing 2 full games to injury. Look for a year similar to 2009/2009.
10. Roddy White
White has quietly put together 3 solid seasons in a row in ATL. Although his average yards-per-catch were down this year (13.6), he notched a career high 11 touchdowns and had his third year in a row of at least 1,100 yards receiving.
11. Greg Jennings (GB)
Jennings is a home run threat for the NFL's best long-ball passer, Aaron Rodgers. He has averaged over 16 yards per catch each of the past two years, and should the Pack get better protection up front, Jennings could improve on his numbers next year. He does need to get more touches in the red-zone to take him to the next level fantasy wise.
2009/2010 stats: 1,113 receiving yards, 68 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
12. Hakeem Nicks (NYG) ↑
Has tremendous talent and upside, and should improve on his rookies numbers. Projection: 1,100-1,200 yards receiving, 60-80 receptions, 8-10 touchdowns.
13. Santonio Holmes (Pit) ↑
2009/2010 saw Holmes have his first 1,000 yard receiving season as a pro, but his lack of touchdowns was a little disconcerting. If he improves that statistic, he will be a top fantasy wide out. 2009/2010 stats: 1,248 receiving yards, 79 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
14. Steve Smith (Car)
The Panthers complete meltdown at quarterback affected Smith, as he saw his first season in the last five to not record a 1,000 yard receiving year (only had 65 receptions). Still, despite that, he still scored 7 touchdowns and averaged 15.1 yards per catch. With a new quarterback, look for Smith to bounce back in 2010/2011.
15. Steve Smith (NYG) ↑
Smith was Eli's go-to-guy this season, putting up great all around numbers. Expect more of the same next year, although the emergence of Nick's could spell a few less balls thrown his way. 2009/2010 stats: 1,220 receiving yards, 107 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
16-25
16. Anquan Bolden (Ari)
1,024 receiving yards, 84 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
17. Marques Colston (NO)
1,074 receiving yards, 70 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
18. Chad Ochocinco (Cin)
1,047 receiving yards, 72 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
19. Percy Harvin (Min) ↑
790 receiving yards, 60 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
20. Michael Crabtree (San) ↑
625 receiving yards, 48 receptions and 2 touchdowns.
21. Pierre Garcon (Ind) ↑
765 receiving yards, 47 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
22. Mike Sims-Walker (Jax) ↑
869 receiving yards, 63 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
23. Kenny Britt (Ten) ↑
701 receiving yards, 42 receptions and 3 touchdowns.
24. Mike Wallace (Pit) ↑
756 receiving yards, 39 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
25. Wes Welker (NE) - [I would slot Welker higher, but his late season injury throws his value into question]
1,348 receiving yards, 123 receptions and 4.
[Player to keep in mind for the 2010/2011 season at Wide Receiver is Dez Bryant, a will-be rookie next season]
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
1. Andrew Johnson (Hou)- 213 points.
2. Randy Moss (NE)- 204 points.
3. DeSean Jackson (Phi)- 200 points.
4. Miles Austin (Dal)- 197 points.
5. Larry Fitzgerald (Ari)- 187 points.
6. Reggie Wayne (Ind)- 185 points.
7. Roddy White (Alt)- 181 points.
8. Sidney Rice (Min)- 177 points.
9. Brandon Marshall (Den)- 175 points.
10. Vincent Jackson (SD)- 171 points.
11. Steve Smith (NYG)- 164 points.
12. Wes Welker (NE)- 162 points.
13. Marques Colston (NO)- 158 points.
14. Chad Ochocinco (Cin)- 157 points.
15. Santonio Holmes (Pit)- 154 points.
1. Andre Johnson (Hou)
My reasoning behind taking Johnson ahead of Fitzgerald is partly due to the uncertainty with the quarterback situation in Arizona if Warner isn't under center, but also because Johnson is the only player to have over 1,500 yards receiving in each of the past 2 seasons, and he still has room for improvement with regard to his touchdown totals. His stats this year were ridiculous: 1,569 yards receiving, 101 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
2. Larry Fitzgerald (Ari)
Larry is the definition of consistency and reliability. Johnson has averaged 1,310 yards receiving, 97 catches and 11 touchdowns over the past 3 seasons. The only issue that could arrise is if Warner retires.
3. DeSean Jackson (Phi) ↑
Jackson was truly the best deep threat in the NFL this season, averaging 18.5 yards per catch and became a favorite target for McNabb in only his second year in the league. He has enormous upside, especially with the addition of his punt return numbers.
2009/2010 stats: 1,167 yards receiving, 63 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
4. Miles Austin (Dal) ↑
I gave Austin the edge over Marshall here because of his consistency when thrown the ball late in the season, and because Marshall has shown some character issues that have caused him to miss some time. Austin, coming from relative obscurity, has become the favorite target of Romo and should thrive next season for the Cowboys. Imagine his numbers had he had more than 5 receptions in his first 4 games (totaling 81 yards).
2009/2010 stats: 1,320 receiving yards, 81 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
5. Brandon Marshall (Den)
Although Marshall's receiving yards have gone down the past three years 1,325 (07'/08'), 1,265 (08'/09') and 1,120 (09'/10'), and seems at time to have character issues, he still is a physically gifted receiver that can whip out record breaking games in a flash (see his 21 reception, 201 yard receiving and 2 touchdowns verses the Colts in week 14).
6. Reggie Wayne (Ind)
Perennial 1,000 yard receiver in a high octane offense (6 straight seasons, averaging 1,249 a season during that period); Wayne is a sure thing for 8-10 touchdowns a season.
2009/2010 stats: 1,264 receiving yards, 100 receptions and 10 touchdowns.
6. Randy Moss (NE)
Moss has averaged 1,255 yards receiving, 83 catches and 15 touchdowns over the past 3 seasons. Although age is a factor, with Brady throwing him the rock there is no reason he shouldn't be in the top-5 point total wise next season.
7. Sidney Rice ↑
Had a breakout season in his 3rd year in the league, hooking up with Favre often in 2009/2010. Totaled 1,312 receiving yards (4th in the league), 83 receptions and 8 touchdowns, Rice still has tremendous upside. Hopefully for his sake, Favre is behind center again next season.
8. Vincent Jackson ↑
Thriving in a power packed offense, Jackson has improved his production each year in the league. Averaging 17.2 yards per catch in 2009/2010, it won't be hard for him to improve his number yet again if targeted more. 2009/2010 stats: 1,167 receiving yards, 68 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
9. Calvin Johnson
Johnson took a step back this year after a stellar sophomore year campaign, but should bounce back in 2010/2011. Having three different quarterbacks in one year can have that affect on a wide out, not to mention him missing 2 full games to injury. Look for a year similar to 2009/2009.
10. Roddy White
White has quietly put together 3 solid seasons in a row in ATL. Although his average yards-per-catch were down this year (13.6), he notched a career high 11 touchdowns and had his third year in a row of at least 1,100 yards receiving.
11. Greg Jennings (GB)
Jennings is a home run threat for the NFL's best long-ball passer, Aaron Rodgers. He has averaged over 16 yards per catch each of the past two years, and should the Pack get better protection up front, Jennings could improve on his numbers next year. He does need to get more touches in the red-zone to take him to the next level fantasy wise.
2009/2010 stats: 1,113 receiving yards, 68 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
12. Hakeem Nicks (NYG) ↑
Has tremendous talent and upside, and should improve on his rookies numbers. Projection: 1,100-1,200 yards receiving, 60-80 receptions, 8-10 touchdowns.
13. Santonio Holmes (Pit) ↑
2009/2010 saw Holmes have his first 1,000 yard receiving season as a pro, but his lack of touchdowns was a little disconcerting. If he improves that statistic, he will be a top fantasy wide out. 2009/2010 stats: 1,248 receiving yards, 79 receptions and 5 touchdowns.
14. Steve Smith (Car)
The Panthers complete meltdown at quarterback affected Smith, as he saw his first season in the last five to not record a 1,000 yard receiving year (only had 65 receptions). Still, despite that, he still scored 7 touchdowns and averaged 15.1 yards per catch. With a new quarterback, look for Smith to bounce back in 2010/2011.
15. Steve Smith (NYG) ↑
Smith was Eli's go-to-guy this season, putting up great all around numbers. Expect more of the same next year, although the emergence of Nick's could spell a few less balls thrown his way. 2009/2010 stats: 1,220 receiving yards, 107 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
16-25
16. Anquan Bolden (Ari)
1,024 receiving yards, 84 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
17. Marques Colston (NO)
1,074 receiving yards, 70 receptions and 9 touchdowns.
18. Chad Ochocinco (Cin)
1,047 receiving yards, 72 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
19. Percy Harvin (Min) ↑
790 receiving yards, 60 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
20. Michael Crabtree (San) ↑
625 receiving yards, 48 receptions and 2 touchdowns.
21. Pierre Garcon (Ind) ↑
765 receiving yards, 47 receptions and 4 touchdowns.
22. Mike Sims-Walker (Jax) ↑
869 receiving yards, 63 receptions and 7 touchdowns.
23. Kenny Britt (Ten) ↑
701 receiving yards, 42 receptions and 3 touchdowns.
24. Mike Wallace (Pit) ↑
756 receiving yards, 39 receptions and 6 touchdowns.
25. Wes Welker (NE) - [I would slot Welker higher, but his late season injury throws his value into question]
1,348 receiving yards, 123 receptions and 4.
[Player to keep in mind for the 2010/2011 season at Wide Receiver is Dez Bryant, a will-be rookie next season]
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
Monday, January 4, 2010
Fantasy Football Season: Predictions - Running Backs
Blog number two = Running Backs.
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
Running Backs
1. Chris Johnson (Ten)- 342 points.
2. Adrian Peterson (Min)- 277 points.
2. Maurice Jones-Drew (Jax)-270 - points.
4. Ray Rice (Bal)- 246 points.
5. Thomas Jones (NYJ)- 230 points.
6. Frank Gore (San)- 226 points.
7. Ricky Williams (Mia)- 213 points.
8. Ryan Grant (GB)- 209 points.
9. Joseph Addai (Ind)- 199 points.
10. Stephen Jackson (Stl)- 193 points.
2010 Predictions
1. Chris Johnson ↑
Johnson emerged this year as the best overall back in the league without question. Leading fantasy league's in total points for backs, as well the sole 2,000 yard rusher, he is sure to be a top 5 pick overall in virtually every league. He also had 500 yards receiving on the year, which may be an area he can improve on next year.
2. Adrian Peterson
Peterson, the defending rushing leader for the 2008/2009 season, was 5th in the league in rushing yards (1,383) this season, but first in rushing touchdowns (18). Peterson was handed the ball 49 fewer times this year, which saw his rushing yards decrease by 377 yards, but he also had 8 more touchdowns than the year before and caught more passes out of the backfield (he had over a 300 yard increase in receiving yards from 08'/09' to 09'/10'). His consistency should make him the #2 back taken.
3. Maurice Jones-Drew ↑
Jones-Drew had a breakout season for the Jags, notching top-5 in the league in rushing attempts (312), yards (1,391), and touchdowns (15). This season was Jones-Drew's first being the featured back, and his versatility catching passes out of the backfield make him a duel threat.
4. Jamaal Charles ↑
Averaging a ridiculous 5.9 yards a carry, Charles should get a full work load next season in KC. After receiving less than 10 carries in each of his first 6 weeks, his second half saw his production increase, averaging 20 carries in the last 8 weeks of the season. If you average out the last 8 games of 2008/2009 into an entire season, here is what you get: 1,924 yards rushing, 14 rushing touchdowns, 316 yards receiving, and 2 receiving touchdowns.
5. Ray Rice ↑
Rice finished the year with a solid stat line, in just his second year in the league: 1,339 yards rushing, 7 rushing touchdowns, 702 yards receiving and 1 receiving touchdown. Averaging a superb 5.3 yards per carry, and hopefully given more goal-line touches next year (Willis McGahee had 12 rushing touchdowns in 2009/2010), Rice should improve on those numbers.
7. Michael Turner
During the past two seasons, Turner have averaged a touchdown per game, which is phenomenal. 2009/2010 saw him battling an ankle injury, which caused him to play in only 11 of the 16 games. He still averaged 4.9 yards a carry, and managed to score 10 touchdowns despite missing time. If he can stay healthy next season, there isn't any reason why he can't repeat his numbers from the 2008/2009 season (1,699 yards rushing, 17 touchdowns).
8. Ryan Grant
Grant made 2009/2010 his best statistical season yet, totaling 1,253 yards rushing and 11 rushing touchdowns. Playing in Green Bay, with their formidable passing attack, should give Grant a good opportunity to get some touches in space next season.
9. Frank Gore
Gore has averaged 1,112 rushing yards a season over his career, which puts him in the 'steady, but not league-leading' category. He saw the endzone more in 2009/2010 than previously in his career (10 rushing touchdowns), but the 49ers offense moving away from the run towards the pass is a little worrying.
10. Cedric Bensen (Cin) ↑
After missing three full games, Bensen has put up some impressive numbers: 1,251 rushing yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 6 rushing touchdowns. Bensen averages 109 yards-per-game in Cincinnati wins, and should see the ball more next season. When given 20 or more touches in a game, Cincinnati was 6-1 in 2009/2010.
11 - 20 [statistics are from 2009/2010 season]
11. Rashard Mendenhall (Pit) ↑
1,108 rushing, 4.6 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
12. DeAngelo Williams (Car)
1,117 rushing, 5.2 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
13. Beanie Wells (Ari) ↑
793 rushing, 4.5 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
14. Ronnie Brown (Mia)
648 rushing, 4.4 ypc, 8 rushing td's.
15. Jonathan Stuart (Car)
1,133 rushing, 5.1 ypc, 10 rushing td's.
16. Thomas Jones (NYJ)
1,402 rushing, 4.2 ypc, 14 rushing td's.
17. Pierre Thomas (NO) ↑
793 rushing, 5.4 ypc, 6 rushing td's.
18. Jerome Harrison (Cle) ↑
862 rushing, 4.5 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
19. Joseph Addai (Ind)
828 rushing, 3.8 ypc, 10 rushing td's.
20. Matt Forte (Chi)
929 rushing, 3.6 ypc, 4 rushing td's.
[Two players to keep in mind for the 2010/2011 season at Running Back are will-be rookies C.J. Spiller and Jahvid Best]
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
According to the Yahoo! Sports fantasy league to which I subscribed, your point leaders for 2009/2010 are as follows:
[there may be point differentials from league to league based on how they statistically score points, but this can be used as a broad baseline]
Running Backs
1. Chris Johnson (Ten)- 342 points.
2. Adrian Peterson (Min)- 277 points.
2. Maurice Jones-Drew (Jax)-270 - points.
4. Ray Rice (Bal)- 246 points.
5. Thomas Jones (NYJ)- 230 points.
6. Frank Gore (San)- 226 points.
7. Ricky Williams (Mia)- 213 points.
8. Ryan Grant (GB)- 209 points.
9. Joseph Addai (Ind)- 199 points.
10. Stephen Jackson (Stl)- 193 points.
2010 Predictions
1. Chris Johnson ↑
Johnson emerged this year as the best overall back in the league without question. Leading fantasy league's in total points for backs, as well the sole 2,000 yard rusher, he is sure to be a top 5 pick overall in virtually every league. He also had 500 yards receiving on the year, which may be an area he can improve on next year.
2. Adrian Peterson
Peterson, the defending rushing leader for the 2008/2009 season, was 5th in the league in rushing yards (1,383) this season, but first in rushing touchdowns (18). Peterson was handed the ball 49 fewer times this year, which saw his rushing yards decrease by 377 yards, but he also had 8 more touchdowns than the year before and caught more passes out of the backfield (he had over a 300 yard increase in receiving yards from 08'/09' to 09'/10'). His consistency should make him the #2 back taken.
3. Maurice Jones-Drew ↑
Jones-Drew had a breakout season for the Jags, notching top-5 in the league in rushing attempts (312), yards (1,391), and touchdowns (15). This season was Jones-Drew's first being the featured back, and his versatility catching passes out of the backfield make him a duel threat.
4. Jamaal Charles ↑
Averaging a ridiculous 5.9 yards a carry, Charles should get a full work load next season in KC. After receiving less than 10 carries in each of his first 6 weeks, his second half saw his production increase, averaging 20 carries in the last 8 weeks of the season. If you average out the last 8 games of 2008/2009 into an entire season, here is what you get: 1,924 yards rushing, 14 rushing touchdowns, 316 yards receiving, and 2 receiving touchdowns.
5. Ray Rice ↑
Rice finished the year with a solid stat line, in just his second year in the league: 1,339 yards rushing, 7 rushing touchdowns, 702 yards receiving and 1 receiving touchdown. Averaging a superb 5.3 yards per carry, and hopefully given more goal-line touches next year (Willis McGahee had 12 rushing touchdowns in 2009/2010), Rice should improve on those numbers.
7. Michael Turner
During the past two seasons, Turner have averaged a touchdown per game, which is phenomenal. 2009/2010 saw him battling an ankle injury, which caused him to play in only 11 of the 16 games. He still averaged 4.9 yards a carry, and managed to score 10 touchdowns despite missing time. If he can stay healthy next season, there isn't any reason why he can't repeat his numbers from the 2008/2009 season (1,699 yards rushing, 17 touchdowns).
8. Ryan Grant
Grant made 2009/2010 his best statistical season yet, totaling 1,253 yards rushing and 11 rushing touchdowns. Playing in Green Bay, with their formidable passing attack, should give Grant a good opportunity to get some touches in space next season.
9. Frank Gore
Gore has averaged 1,112 rushing yards a season over his career, which puts him in the 'steady, but not league-leading' category. He saw the endzone more in 2009/2010 than previously in his career (10 rushing touchdowns), but the 49ers offense moving away from the run towards the pass is a little worrying.
10. Cedric Bensen (Cin) ↑
After missing three full games, Bensen has put up some impressive numbers: 1,251 rushing yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 6 rushing touchdowns. Bensen averages 109 yards-per-game in Cincinnati wins, and should see the ball more next season. When given 20 or more touches in a game, Cincinnati was 6-1 in 2009/2010.
11 - 20 [statistics are from 2009/2010 season]
11. Rashard Mendenhall (Pit) ↑
1,108 rushing, 4.6 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
12. DeAngelo Williams (Car)
1,117 rushing, 5.2 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
13. Beanie Wells (Ari) ↑
793 rushing, 4.5 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
14. Ronnie Brown (Mia)
648 rushing, 4.4 ypc, 8 rushing td's.
15. Jonathan Stuart (Car)
1,133 rushing, 5.1 ypc, 10 rushing td's.
16. Thomas Jones (NYJ)
1,402 rushing, 4.2 ypc, 14 rushing td's.
17. Pierre Thomas (NO) ↑
793 rushing, 5.4 ypc, 6 rushing td's.
18. Jerome Harrison (Cle) ↑
862 rushing, 4.5 ypc, 7 rushing td's.
19. Joseph Addai (Ind)
828 rushing, 3.8 ypc, 10 rushing td's.
20. Matt Forte (Chi)
929 rushing, 3.6 ypc, 4 rushing td's.
[Two players to keep in mind for the 2010/2011 season at Running Back are will-be rookies C.J. Spiller and Jahvid Best]
** Scoring in my Yahoo! Fantasy Football League was as follows:
Offence
Passing Yards = 25 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns = 6
Interceptions = -1
Rushing Yards = 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns = 6
Reception Yards = 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns = 6
Return Touchdowns = 6
2-Point Conversions = 2
Fumbles Lost = -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD = 6
Kickers
Field Goals 0-19 Yards = 3
Field Goals 20-29 Yards = 3
Field Goals 30-39 Yards = 3
Field Goals 40-49 Yards = 4
Field Goals 50+ Yards = 5
Point After Attempt Made = 1
Defense/Special Teams
Sack = 1
Interception = 2
Fumble Recovery = 2
Touchdown = 6
Safety = 2
Block Kick = 2
Points Allowed 0 points = 10
Points Allowed 1-6 points = 7
Points Allowed 7-13 points = 4
Points Allowed 14-20 points = 1
Points Allowed 21-27 points = 0
Points Allowed 28-34 points = -1
Points Allowed 35+ points = -4
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